The Patriot Deal Room: KILL IT EARLYThe deal killers I look for in the first ten days, before diligence gets expensive. By Jeremiah Boucher | Founder & CEO, Patriot Holdings The HookEvery deal eventually closes or dies. The only question is how much you spent finding out which. A title commitment, a Phase I, an ALTA survey, a property condition report, a roof report, a zoning report, and your attorney's time. That's real money and six weeks of calendar before you've even started negotiating off the findings. On most deals we pass on, the reason was sitting in a public record or the first ten pages of a report — we just hadn't looked there first. This issue is the sequence we use now. Free checks before the PSA. Cheap reads right after. Expensive work last. And I'm going to walk it using the real reports from a deal we had under contract this summer: a roughly 46,000 SF small bay flex park in central Connecticut, with a cell tower in the courtyard and a cannabis retailer on the rent roll. Gate One: Before You Sign the PSAThese cost nothing but an afternoon. If a deal fails one of them, you don't need a report to tell you.
Gate Two: The First Ten Days After You SignStart with the leases — every one, start to finish. They cost nothing and they're the income. Then, as the reports come in, read them in this order: cheapest and fastest first, because the title commitment can kill a deal the Phase I never gets to. 1. Title Commitment — read Schedule B like it's the leaseSchedule B-I is what must happen for the title company to insure you. Schedule B-II is everything they won't insure against. Most people skim both. Don't. What this one told us:
2. Phase I ESA — skip to the RECs, then read the recommendationsA Phase I sorts findings into buckets. A REC (recognized environmental condition) is a live issue. An HREC is historical and closed. A BER is a business risk outside the ASTM scope. The only bucket that can kill you this week is the RECs — and the only section that tells you your next cost is the recommendations. This Phase I found four RECs:
The recommendation: a Phase II with ground-penetrating radar, $8,000 to $14,000, three to five weeks. Now go back to your PSA. Does your clock survive that? 3. ALTA Survey — confirm what title told you, then look at the edges
4. PCA — read what's excluded before what's includedThe headline looked clean: $12,700 immediate, $104,800 short-term (mostly paving and exterior walls), $77,400 of reserves over twelve years. That's $0.14 per SF per year in reserves on a building that's nearly 50 years old. That number is too low, and the report tells you why if you read the fine print:
A report that tells you a 1970s masonry building needs $0.14 a foot is a report that left something out. The Reports Talk to Each OtherThe single most useful thing you can do with a stack of diligence reports is read them against each other.
Four documents, twenty years apart, all telling you the same thing: the cleanup plan was never completed. No single report says that clearly. Put side by side, it's obvious. Seller Motivation CheckThe land records tell the story. The seller bought in 2019 with a $1.3M mortgage. In early 2023, three things were recorded within ten weeks: an amended cell tower agreement, a special permit from the city, and a recorded lease with the cannabis tenant. Three months later, a second mortgage for $2.25M. That's a clean value-add play. Get the permit, sign the premium tenant, restructure the tower, refinance. I respect it. Then, last fall, a modification to that 2023 loan. A modification can be a maturity extension, a rate reset, or a covenant fix. I don't know which, and I'm not going to guess in print. But a seller who modified a loan and then listed within a year is a seller with a date on the calendar — and that's worth knowing when you negotiate off your diligence findings. Read the Tax Bill Like an OperatorIn Connecticut, property is assessed at 70% of market value, then taxed at the local mill rate — one mill is $1 per $1,000 of assessed value. This city runs one of the highest mill rates in the state, near 70. The assessor sets value at each revaluation, and this city's next one is the October 1, 2026 grand list. A sale at our price, months before that date, is the best comp the assessor will have. The math at our purchase price:
Against the seller's current bill: if the current assessment reflects roughly $2.5M of market value, the seller is paying about $120,000. That's a $140,000 annual increase. The seller's P&L won't show it, because the seller's P&L was never going to pay it. Texas does this to you in year one. Connecticut does it to you on a revaluation schedule you can look up for free. Either way, you can know before you sign. The Closing LessonOrder your diligence by cost to kill, not by habit.
Then read them against each other. The deal killer is rarely hiding in one report. It's hiding in the gap between two of them. A pass in week one is the cheapest win in this business. SubscribeEvery issue of The Patriot Deal Room is a real deal we underwrote, with the real numbers and the real reports — the ones we buy and the ones we walk away from. Subscribe on LinkedIn and by email on Kit to get a working education in how small bay flex industrial actually gets bought, and how the bad ones get killed early. And if you'd rather own a piece of these deals than just read about them, that's exactly the conversation this newsletter is meant to start. Jeremiah Boucher · Patriot Holdings |
For people who love to go deep into the mechanics of commercial real estate deals. Every week we break down a real one: small bay flex industrial, mobile home parks, self-storage, any multi-tenant deal where the goal is cash flow. The common sense evaluation. Where the numbers come from, where the risk actually sits, and what a billion dollars of transactions over 20 years taught me the hard way.
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THE PATRIOT DEAL ROOM Why I passed. Why I bought. What it teaches. THE PATRIOT DEAL ROOM SMALL BAY "FLEX" INDUSTRIAL PARK // A SUBURBAN SUBMARKET IN SOUTH JERSEY THE JUICE WAS WORTH THE SQUEEZE Is the Juice Worth the Squeeze? By Jeremiah Boucher | Founder & CEO, Patriot Holdings The Hook Six tenants. Four of them are youth sports and fitness businesses. And the park is wrapped in a condominium — we own the buildings outright and we'll run the association, but the operating costs live on two...